Our record
Receipts
Every 2026-27 line is logged the morning of the game, before tip, and graded here against the final score. Nothing is re-priced after the fact, and losses stay on the board.
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Closing-line value (CLV) is the best early test of a real edge: the closing market's chance for our exact bet minus the chance implied by the price we listed. Bettors who beat the close win over time even through losing weeks. Units are 1 per bet at the listed price; props the player didn't play in are voided, like the books do.
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Game lines
9.75
points, average miss
91,000 D-I games, 2010–2026, priced from the previous season's ratings and graded on the final margin. That's the floor: the live model prices this season's rosters, transfers and development on top, which last year's ratings can't see. The season log above is the real test against the books.
Player props
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Awards
14 / 19
National POY picked since 2007
Award odds come from each player's projected line and his team's projected record, calibrated on past voting with each season left out of its own fit.