Trends
Five years of closing lines
Every team's record against the real closing spread and total, 2021-22 through 2025-26, plus how each did against our own power-rating line. Team tendencies regress toward 50%, so use these as context, not a system.
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| # | Team | Record | ATS%▼ | Over% | Win% | Home | Away | Margin | Total | vs Our line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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ATS% and Over% use real closing lines (the-odds-api consensus, 23,500 matched games). vs Our line = average result against the spread our season power ratings implied.